This post delves into the statistical chaos of Expected Goals vs Expected Goals on Target in the MLS to uncover some surprising insights.
Summary
- Expected Goals (xG) vs Expected Goals on Target (xGoT) – Which is more reliable?
- xG==G vs xGoT==G – The closer approximation to real goals?
- Data from FotMob provides intriguing insights into past MLS seasons.
- Exploring the effectiveness and limitations of xG and xGoT calculations.
Insights from the Community
Several users expressed skepticism and curiosity about the validity of xGoT over xG in predicting actual goals in MLS matches. Some users believe xG provides a more accurate representation, while others find xGoT’s ‘flatter’ trend intriguing.
The Graphic Debate
Opinions varied on the necessity of graphics in analyzing soccer statistics, with humorous remarks about the Texan teams and minimalist logos creating engaging discussions within the community.
Team Performance Reactions
Individual users shared their reactions to their team’s performance based on the xG and xGoT data, with some expressing frustration at perceived underperformance and others finding validation in the statistical analysis.